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1月21日

CEO Confidence Survey

Latest Press Release

THESE DATA ARE FOR ANALYSIS PURPOSES ONLY. NOT FOR REDISTRIBUTION, PUBLISHING, DATABASING, OR PUBLIC POSTING WITHOUT EXPRESS WRITTEN PERMISSION.

CEO Confidence Declines Again, The Conference Board Reports

January 15, 2008

The Conference Board Measure of CEO Confidence, which had declined to 44 in the third quarter of 2007, fell to 39 in the final quarter of 2007 (a reading of more than 50 points reflects more positive than negative responses). The last time the Measure fell below 40 was in the final quarter of 2000 when it fell to 31.

"CEOs' confidence in the state of the U.S. economy continues to wither and is now at a seven-year low," says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board Consumer Research Center. "Given continued trouble in the housing and credit markets, persistent volatility in financial markets and increases in energy prices, it's not surprising that confidence has eroded. Looking ahead, the majority of business leaders expect these lackluster economic conditions to prevail throughout the first half of 2008."

CEOs' assessment of current economic conditions was considerably less positive, with just 7 percent of CEOs — down from 14 percent last quarter — stating economic conditions had improved. In assessing their own industries, business leaders were also less optimistic. Approximately 15 percent claim conditions are better, down from approximately 17 percent in the third quarter.

Looking ahead six months, the outlook has turned more negative. Currently, 16 percent of business leaders expect economic conditions to improve in the next six months, down from 20 percent last quarter. Expectations for their own industries are also less upbeat, with only 17 percent anticipating an improvement, down from 27 percent last quarter.

Inflation Outlook: Modest Price Increases Expected

The majority of chief executives expect changes in their firms' selling prices in 2008, with just 9 percent anticipating price increases in excess of 10 percent. On average, firms plan to hike prices by 3.2 percent, slightly lower than last year's expectation of 3.3 percent. Some 13 percent plan decreases and 4 percent foresee no change.

Related Tables are attached. (You will need Adobe Acrobat to view)

Source: CEO Confidence 4th Quarter 2007
The Conference Board

For further information contact:
Ms. Lynn Franco
at +1 212 339 0344
lynn.franco@conference-board.org

The after match of Chimes Distruction and the wake of job losses are staggering.

1/21/2008

The bankruptcy filing of Ensemble Chimes Global in Los Angeles on Jan. 9 leaves the users of staffing services through the company's vendor management system with some unresolved issues. However, the greatest learning opportunities for staffing clients may come in the long term, as all of the issues surrounding the bankruptcy come to the surface, and clients gain a heightened awareness of the potential risks associated with running staffing transactions through an intermediary company.

Currently some staffing suppliers are opposing the sale of the system to Ensemble Chimes Global's former president, and alleged improprieties have come to the surface about the financial dealings of executives of Axium International Inc. the parent company of Ensemble Chimes Global, as reported by the Los Angeles Times. As these events transpire, clients are realizing how they can become vulnerable, should their vendor management system supplier be acquired, file for bankruptcy protection, or handle funds inappropriately. While the bankruptcy trustee has made interim arrangements for the operation of the system, at the very least, clients face the potential for business interruption should vendor management system firms go belly up and all of the financial ramifications have yet to be identified or decided in this case.

As of Friday afternoon, Ed Lenz, senior vice president for public affairs and general counsel for the American Staffing Association said he had heard from staffing suppliers that outstanding receivables owed staffing firms by Ensemble Chimes Global totaled anywhere from $100 million to as much as $300 million. Lenz said it was his understanding that the majority of the outstanding balances represent billed but unpaid client invoices.

Also still at issue is $22 million in funds swept away by Axium's owners Golden Tree Asset Management as reported by the Los Angeles Times last week and contractors who were paid directly by Ensemble Chimes Global are blogging about being laid off and having little recourse for unpaid wages.

How staffing suppliers that provided temps under the Ensemble Chimes Global system might weather large write-offs is another potential concern for clients.

At the very least, many Ensemble Chimes Global clients originally contracted with a company that operated under different ownership and a different set of financial circumstances, during the pre-acquisition period. While clients may have felt protected under the terms of their original ECG agreements, it's hard to say if those agreements will provide complete financial protection for clients, until everything shakes out.

"Now everybody's trying to put Humpty Dumpty back together again," says Lenz. "I think there will be lessons learned from this insolvency. For example, clients will want to make sure that VMS suppliers have escrow accounts, so they don't co-mingle funds, and clients may place a premium on sound management in the future and require more assurances that the VMS company will continue to operate. All of the issues haven't surfaced yet, and right now, clients have a right to be skeptical."

Leslie Stevens

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